Service Plays Wednesday 06/17/09

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Braves Tuesday night.

Today it's the Rays. The surplus is 1,025 sirignanos.
 

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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Wednesday Plays

MLB Baseball

100* Play Minnesota (-185) over Pittsburgh (TOP MLB PLAY)

Pittsburgh has lost 11 of the last 13 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and they have also lost 62 of the last 84 inter-league road games. Ian Snell has lost 14 of the last 16 road games when pitching in the 1st half of the season and he is also 1-7 in all starts this season with an ERA of 5.25. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

50* Play Kansas City (-165) over Arizona (MLB Bonus Play)

Arizona has lost 6 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 23 of the last 36 games when playing on a Wednesday. Max Scherzer has lost 6 of the last 7 games when the total posted is 7 to 8.5 runs and he has also lost 8 of the last 10 road games. Kansas City has won 18 of the last 25 inter-league games and Zack Greinke is 6-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.37. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

25* Play San Francisco (-170) over LA Angels (MLB Bonus Play)
San Francisco has won 5 of the last 8 games and they have also won 10 of the last 13 home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less. Tim Lincecum has won 14 of the last 17 home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and he is also 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.59.

Check these guys out! Free for baseball............
 

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Maddux confirmed picks

#913 - MLB - 3 units on Milwaukee +110
#925 - MLB - 3 units on Tampa Bay +106
#927 - MLB - 3 units on Seattle +117
#930 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers -149
 

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Ron Raymond's US Open Golf Picks
Nobody has won back to back US Open Golf Championships since Curtis Strange did in ’88 and 89. Plus, from what I can gather from local players and professional golfers, if you’re a bit wild off the tees, you will be in for a long day, because there’s no forgiveness at Bethpage Black. Here’s what you’re looking for when picking a golfer to win the 2009 US Open Championship.

1. You want somebody who is accurate in driving and hit’s the fairways with consistency.
2. Somebody who can nail putts, because like they say; “You drive for show and putt for dough”.
3. Finding a golfer who has won this year, this mean they know how to deal with pressure on Sunday.

Gold Pick - Zach Johnson +5050: Zach Johnson is my top choice to win the 2009 US Open Golf Championship at Bethpage Black. In my view, the winner of the US Open will need to be able to take out the driver and be ready to “grip it and rip it” and hit the fairways consistently. In fact, Johnson is hitting 69.5% of his drives in the fairways this season and is ranked 15th in accuracy. Plus, he’s won 2 events (Sony Open in Hawaii and Valero Texas Open) this year and has 5 top ten finishes and eight Top 25 finishes. He’s your current FedEx Cup leader and has netted 3.3 million in earnings this year. Plus, being paired with Lee Westwood of England and Shingo Katayama of Japan, sits well with Johnson, as he won’t have the “media pressure” following them, because they will be in Tiger and Phil’s group.

Silver Pick - Geoff Ogilvy +2000: After reviewing the important factors of driving and putting, Geoff Ogilvy has been solid in these departments, but even stronger with the putter. Ogilvy is currently ranked 7th with the putter and that is huge for winning the US Open. Ogilvy has 2 wins this year (World Golf Championship Accenture Match Play Championship); he’s got 4 Top 10 finishes and 7 Top 25 finishes. Plus, he’s 2nd in the Fed Ex cup and did well at last years Championship by placing 9th. This might be his year, as long as his putter is burning hot!

Bronze Pick - Ian Poulter +5000: I’ve been a huge Ian Poulter fan this year and if there’s one thing about betting on Ian, when he’s hot, he will give you a chance on Sundays. If you recall, Ian finished 2nd this year at the Players Championship and he’s earned 4 Top 10 finishes and 7 Top 25 finishes. Poulter is my longshot to win the 2009 US Open Championship and he’s 12th in putting on tour and because this is a challenging course, ending up in the sand traps might be key to some golfers scores and Poulter is ranked 5th in sand trap plays. Take a flyer and play Poulter at these great odds.
 

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SPORTS ADVISORS

Toronto (35-31) at Philadelphia (36-26)

Blue Jays rookie Scott Richmond (4-3, 3.90 ERA) tries for his first victory in nearly seven weeks when he pitches opposite the ageless Jamie Moyer (4-5, 6.11) and the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Toronto scored the tying run in the top of the ninth inning in Tuesday’s series opener, then exploded for five runs in the 10th en route to an 8-3 victory that snapped the team’s four-game losing skid. Despite the comeback last night, the Jays remain in miserable slumps of 3-10 on the road, 1-6 in interleague play, 1-6 against the N.L. East, 2-8 in interleague road games, 6-14 as an underdog, 21-41 as an underdog against the National League and 0-4 on Wednesday.

Since returning from a grueling 11-game, four-city road trip, the Phillies have dropped three of four at home, all against A.L. East foes, and the defending champs are now just 13-17 at Citizens Bank Park this season. Philadelphia is still 20-10 in its last 30 contests overall and 39-20 in its last 59 as a favorite, but it has dropped six of eight on Wednesday and 10 of 13 when favored against the American League.

Toronto has now won three straight against the Phillies going back to last season, all in Philadelphia.

Richmond is winless in his last five starts dating to a May 3 victory over Baltimore. The Blue Jays are 1-4 during this stretch, with Richmond giving up a total of 17 runs (all earned) in 26 1/3 innings (5.81 ERA). That includes a 6-2 home loss to Kansas City in his most recent start on June 6, as he yielded five runs in 4 2/3 innings. The right-hander, who has never faced Philadelphia, is 2-1 with a 3.56 ERA in five road contests this season.

The 46-year-old Moyer has turned back the clock over his last three starts, going 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA (six runs, 15 hits and no walks allowed in 19 innings). He got a no-decision in Philadelphia’s 6-3, 10-inning victory at the Mets on Thursday, yielding all three runs in six innings. Although the Phillies are just 2-5 in Moyer’s last seven starts overall and 3-7 in his last 10 Wednesday affairs, they’ve won seven of his last 10 at Citizens Bank, and they’re 35-16 in his last 51 when favored.

Moyer is 2-3 with a hefty 6.82 ERA in six home starts this season and a dreadful 1-5 with a 7.17 ERA in night games. He’s also 14-8 despite a 5.27 ERA in 37 career appearances (35 starts) against Toronto.

The over is 4-1 in Richmond’s last five road starts and 4-0 in his last four as an underdog, but on the flip side, Moyer’s last five starts overall have stayed below the posted total.

The over is 6-2 in Philadelphia’s last eight games overall, but otherwise it is on “under” streaks of 9-5-1 at home, 14-6-1 in interleague play and 9-3 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Toronto carries “over” trends of 5-0 in interleague action (all against the N.L. East), 5-0 against lefty starters and 7-0-1 on Wednesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Detroit (34-30) at St. Louis (35-30)

Edwin Jackson (6-3, 2.24) looks to continue his sensational season when he takes the mound for the Tigers against the Cardinals and Todd Wellemeyer (5-6, 5.50) as this three-game interleague series continues at Busch Stadium.

The Cardinals’ slumping offense woke up in a big away Tuesday, roughing up the red hot Tigers ace Justin Verlander en route to an 11-2 victory. It was just the 11th time in the last 33 games that St. Louis scored more than three runs in a contest. Despite the victory, the Redbirds are still stuck in ruts of 4-7 overall and 1-4 at home, but they’ve won seven of their last nine on Wednesday and nine of their last 12 against winning teams.

Detroit has dropped three in a row and is now 4-5 on its current 11-game road trip. The Tigers have scored a total of 16 runs in their last six games. Still, they’re on hot streaks of 45-20 in interleague play, 13-7 in interleague road games, 23-12 against the N.L. Central, 16-6 as a favorite, 23-8 as a road favorite and 41-11 as a chalk against the National League.

Since losing to the Redbirds in five games in the 2006 World Series, Detroit is 5-2 against St. Louis, all in interleague action the past two-plus seasons. However, all five wins came in Motown. Since the start of the 2006 season, the home team has won 13 of the last 15 head-to-head clashes, with only four of those contests – Games 3, 4 and 5 of the ‘06 World Series, as well as last night’s clash – played in St. Louis.

Jackson’s streak of six straight quality starts – at least six innings pitched while allowing three earned runs or fewer – ended Thursday at Chicago, but he still had a solid outing, holding the White Sox to two runs in five innings, getting a no-decision in his team’s 4-3 loss. The right-hander has a 1.61 ERA over his last seven starts (five of them Tigers wins), including a 1.37 ERA in four road games. For the season, Jackson is 3-2 with a 1.55 ERA in seven starts as a visitor.

Wellemeyer’s struggles continued in Thursday’s start at Florida, as he gave up five runs on 11 hits in six innings, but the Redbirds rallied for a 6-5 victory. Wellemeyer is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in his last three starts and 2-5 with a 5.72 ERA in eight outings at Busch Stadium this season. The Cardinals are 4-1 in Wellemeyer’s last five starts against American League competition, but they’ve lost six straight games in which the right-hander has been a home ‘dog.

Jackson faced the Cardinals last year when he was with Tampa Bay and allowed just a run in 5 1/3 innings, but the Rays lost 5-4 on the road. Meanwhile, Wellemeyer pitched five scoreless innings in Detroit last June, getting a no decision in St. Louis’ 3-2 loss.

Jackson’s last five starts overall and his last four on the road have stayed under the total, and the under has been the play in seven of Wellemeyer’s last eight outings against winning teams and six of his last eight as an underdog.

Even thought last night’s game soared over the total, the Tigers remain on a bunch of “under” streaks, including 20-8 overall, 4-2 on the road, 11-4-1 in interleague road games, 21-7 against right-handed starters, 4-1 as a favorite. Also, St. Louis is on “under” tears of 10-5 at home, 14-7-1 against right-handed starters, 5-1-1 against the American League, 6-1 in interleague home games. Lastly, the under is 4-2 in the last six Tigers-Cardinals meetings at Busch Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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igz1 sports

Wednesday Card
Tuesday Recap: 2-0 MLB

MLB
4* Houston (Ortiz) +145
3* Washington (Lannan) +190
3* Milwaukee (Suppan) +100

Good Luck
 
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WUNDERDOG BELMONT RACE PLAY

BELMONT PARK Race #4 at 2:35 PM Eastern


Top pick: #5 (TWOINTHEROOM) - Logical selection finished 2nd on May 20th at this distance against slightly tougher. Stalker drops a notch for this and a repeat of her latest effort should be good enough.
2nd pick: #1 (Truly Divine) - Part of a Gary Contessa trained entry, filly hasn't raced since March 4th when she "stumbled" and lost her rider. Bred for the grass, she's shown some flashes on the dirt and draws the hedge. Contender
3rd pick: #8 (Shesa Bud Girl) - Daughter of "Giant's Causeway" cost $220,000 and has been a big disappointment. She has some speed and two back she finished 3rd at this demanding distance despite some trouble. Latest saw her tire after being involved in a pace fight at Monmouth.
4th pick: #6 (Rock Candy Mt.) - Tired after chasing in the slop here on May 29th. Bred on "both sides" for the grass, filly has the most speed and should take them as far as she can.
 
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Arthur Ralph

Arthur Ralph:

Super Pick - Dodgers

Gold Key - Phillies, Rockies

Free Pick - Giants

:toast:
 
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Nevada Sharpshooter 400 star

Detroit Tigers -123

Best Bets : Twins, Phillies

paid & Confirmed
 
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WUNDERDOG EARLY AFTERNOON MLB PLAY

Game: Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Chicago White Sox +1.5 runs -160 (runline)

While these teams were both in first place a year ago when they met for the first time in interleague play, both have struggled to meet those expectations this season. The Cubs had the top offense a year ago in the NL, but this season they are close to the bottom. Ryan Dempster has not been the same pitcher as he was a year ago and, even when he was pitching great last season, the White Sox had his number. Dempster made two starts against the Pale Hose resulting in a 7.84 ERA. John Danks came out of a prolonged slump and allowed just a single run in his last start. Danks allowed just a single run in his only start vs the Cubs a year ago. With both offenses struggling and the matchup here favors the White Sox, I'll go with them on the runline
 

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John Morrison's pick(s) for June 17th, 2009.


(MLB baseball) -> Washington +190 {Money Line} Their game is against New York Yankees at 7:05 E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Milwaukee +100 {Money Line] Their game is against Cleveland at 7:05 PM E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Baltimore -150 {Money Line} Their game is against New York Mets at 7:05 E.T.
 

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Discreat Cat
Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Rough day on Sunday, going 0-for-5.

Belmont - Race 2

#2 Annie's Dream (2/1 ml)
 
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